The Fantasy Usage Model — Half PPR

Hayden Winks
Underdog Sports
3 min readMay 29, 2021

Fantasy points per game, fantasy usage, and points over expected.

The “Fantasy Usage Model” measures how many fantasy points we’d expect the average player in an average offense would score with that player’s actual opportunities. It essentially translates carries, targets, air yards, red zone usage, and other metrics into one easy to use metric: “Fantasy Usage” or expected fantasy points.

In this column, I applied the Fantasy Usage Model to Underdog Fantasy scoring (half PPR without 100-yard bonuses) to measure how much each player was involved in their offense last season. As always, I use per-game instead of raw fantasy points. Six games — including playoffs but not Week 17 (rest) — and at least 4.0 half PPR points per game are required to qualify in this sample.

If you want to use this info for best ball, use this link. New users will get $25 to enter Best Ball Mania II, our $3.5M tournament with a $1,000,001 first-place grand prize. If you sign up later without using the link, let them know I sent you with promo code “HAYDENWINKS” but only if you think I deserve dinner this weekend.

2020 RB Fantasy Usage

Here are the top-48 RBs in half PPR points per game last year. The full list of the 77 RB qualifiers is here. If you know a better way to embed tables to Medium, please let me know!

2020 WR Fantasy Usage

Here are the top-48 WRs in half PPR points per game last year. The full list of the 115 WR qualifiers is here. If you know a better way to embed tables to Medium, please let me know!

2020 TE Fantasy Usage

Here are the top-24 TEs in half PPR points per game last year. The full list of the 44 TE qualifiers is here. If you know a better way to embed tables to Medium, please let me know!

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